18:00
05 May

Arouca

Estrela

Away Win
@ 3.6
BTTS No
@ 2.1
Over 2.5 Goals
@ 1.9
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

Estrela to beat Arouca @ 3.6 with bet365

Tipped at 02:23 04-May (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for Estrela beating Arouca tip

  • Arouca have conceded 1 or more goals in 16 of their last 18 home matches
  • Arouca have lost 7 of their last 15 home matches
  • Arouca have been scoreless in 7 of their last 15 home matches
  • Estrela have conceded 1 or less goals in 9 of their last 14 away matches
  • Estrela have scored 2 or more goals in 2 of their last 4 matches

Arouca price doesn't appeal

Estrela might not be well-fancied but the price for Arouca doesn't provide any value.

Arouca have lost 7 of their last 15 games as hosts. Those reverses have not been helped by their latest goal count. They've been goalless in 7 of their last 15 matches on their own soil. Depending on any fitness concerns, this stat could be significant. In the most part they've not been punished but sometimes losing their shape has cost them. They conceded at least once in 16 of their last 18 home matches which lends some additional evidence supporting the away win.

Estrela have showed what they are capable of. They have looked like a solid unit at the back when on the road. Conceding an average of only one goal across their latest 3 trips has given them decent foundations to work with. If the away team puts everything together, they might get the job done. They've scored two or more goals in 2 of their last 4 games. To have any chance of success they'll be desperate to add to that total.

If you don't like the sound of this, there's a low value separate bet in the Both Teams To Score No market.

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