19:15
03 May

Baden

Thun

Home Win
@ 6.05
BTTS No
@ 2.27
Under 2.5 Goals
@ 2.55
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

Baden to beat Thun @ 6.05 with Pinnacle

Tipped at 22:25 01-May (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for Baden beating Thun tip

  • Thun have been scoreless in all of their last 3 away matches
  • Thun have conceded 3 or more goals in 4 of their last 10 away matches
  • Thun have lost 2 of their last 3 away matches
  • Baden have conceded 1 or less goals in 3 of their last 4 home matches
  • Baden have scored 2 or more goals in 3 of their last 7 home matches

Visitors odds too short ahead of Challenge League clash

If you like attacking football you'll be buzzing for this to deliver the goals everyone is expecting. But that doesn't mean there's value in the prices.

Let's start this preview with a caveat; it has a low confidence rating but the away side price is too short.

Baden will take anything they can from Thun's recent results. The visitors come into the match with 2 losses from their last 3 away matches. For a team so short in the betting, perhaps they'd be expected to have done better than this.

And while they are expected to dispose of Baden they're not unbeatable and a home win could be a reasonable shout.

Baden must be prepared for half-chances against the run of play. While ultimately probably not enough to change the outcome of the match, the hosts have posted some good numbers. This home squad is enjoying some form on their own paddock. They have scored two or more goals in 3 of their recent 7 home matches while keeping alert at the back. In defence, they have conceded no more than once in 3 of their last 4 home games.

Away from home Thun have conceded three or more goals in 4 of their last 10 matches. And the home side's defenders will be desperately looking for any suggestions that this might not be as one-sided as the wide odds suggest. For the faithful Baden fans, as long as they have eleven players on the pitch they will be in contention. Thun are in a woeful period on the road, without a goal in 3 away games.

The betting markets imply that both sides can score despite the clear favouritism for Thun. It's all about value though and with the odds-against price on BTTS No, that seems the better option. And taking a look at the goal line, it's no more than two goals picked as the best play given the current prices.

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