18:00
05 May

Braga

Casa Pia

Away Win
@ 9.8
BTTS No
@ 1.95
Under 1.5 Goals
@ 5.5
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

Casa Pia to beat Braga @ 9.8 with Pinnacle

Tipped at 02:23 04-May (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for Casa Pia beating Braga tip

  • Braga have conceded 3 or more goals in 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Casa Pia have scored an average 2.0 goals in their last 8 away matches
  • Casa Pia have won 9 of their last 20 away matches
  • Casa Pia have not conceded in 8 of their last 20 away matches
  • Braga have lost 2 of their last 4 matches

Braga short-price offers zero value

This preview is only interested in value. Braga are overwhelmingly expected to win but it doesn't feel sensible to back the short price.

The hosts have looked out of sorts in some of their latest underpowered outings. Braga have been all over the shop in terms of providing betting value. They've lost 2 of their last 4 matches. They conceded three or more goals in 3 of their last 5 games. So perhaps the upset is not ludicrous.

Casa Pia have actually got the win in 9 of their last 20 trips away. Notably they've scored 2.0 goals on average over their last 8 away assignments which is something they'll have to take encouragement from to have any chance of doing things here. In defence they have also posted some good numbers. They've kept a clean sheet in 8 of their last 20 away matches. While it is a dreadful match-up for them, the visitors might cause a shock here.

If you're more interested in the other markets, the Both Teams To Score No is the recommendation but it comes with a pretty low rating.

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