17:00
01 Apr

Gernika

Alfaro

Home Win
@ 1.46
BTTS Yes
@ 2.38
Under 3.5 Goals
@ 1.25
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

Gernika to beat Alfaro @ 1.46 with Pinnacle

Tipped at 19:39 30-Mar (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for Gernika beating Alfaro tip

  • Gernika have won 10 of their last 16 matches
  • Gernika have conceded 1 or less goals in 17 of their last 19 matches
  • Alfaro have lost 9 of their last 12 away matches
  • Alfaro have conceded 3 or more goals in 4 of their last 7 away matches
  • Alfaro have scored 1 or less goals in 18 of their last 19 away matches

Visitors unlikely to make a dent in Gernika

There are 23 points separating the two sides as fourth place Gernika get set to host 17th place Alfaro.

On paper at least, the home side should win.

It looks like there is a pattern emerging in their recent results. The hosts have registered 10 wins in 16 matches while the travelling side has pulled up short at times. They've lost 9 of their recent 12 matches on the road. All the evidence points to one more loss here.

The home side's defence looks worthy of praise since they are only conceding an average of 0.6 goals over their last 19 games. Meanwhile, the away side has been shipping goals lately. Away from home Alfaro have conceded an average of 3.0 goals in their last 7 matches. To add to their concerns, some of the attacking performances by the visitors have been lacking quality; they averaged just 0.6 goals in their last 19 matches.

No one will be surprised if one of these sides tries to park the bus in a match that plays out on Gernika's terms. It doesn't look like the bet of the day but the Yes BTTS bet could be a fun small stakes side bet. And in the total goals line, it's Under 3.5 for this one given the current odds.

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