Vitoria Guimaraes vs Pacos Ferreira tips and predictions

Winning mentality to be key for Vitoria Guimaraes

On 40 Liga Portugal points, fifth placed Vitoria Guimaraes host 17th placed Pacos Ferreira. With 16 points the visitors are someway behind their rivals.

Get settled in for a decent contest with the home side ultimately prevailing. Many people are making noises about Pacos Ferreira but the data points to a home celebration.

Vitoria Guimaraes have done well ahead of this one. The hosts have secured 5 wins from 8 matches while the travelling side has failed to deliver at times. They've lost 12 of their last 20 matches, home or away. That might not be suitable preparation.

One of the keys to the home win is likely to be how the visitors' rearguard players react to pressure on the day. Away from home Pacos Ferreira have conceded at least once in 19 of their last 20 assignments. And in the final third the visitors have been disappointing. They've scored one or less goals in 18 of their last 20 matches.

Vitoria Guimaraes have won 7 of the last 8 fixtures between these sides. Maybe the form book can go out the window, but the head-to-head stats point to another home win.

It's quite possible this is a match that will simply depend on which side is the first out of the blocks. It would be misleading to suggest that the favourites are a dead-cert here. It's possible that the two sides cancel each other out in a battle of attrition. It's not a strong view so it isn't one to get stuck into but the No BTTS bet is fair enough.