18 Jan



Home Win
@ 7.25
@ 2.8
Under 3.5 Goals
@ 1.15

Zimbabwe to beat Guinea @ 7.25 with bwin

Tipped at 16:06 16-Jan (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for Zimbabwe beating Guinea tip

  • Guinea have scored 1 or less goals in 9 of their last 10 matches
  • Guinea have conceded 3 or more goals in 2 of their last 5 matches
  • Zimbabwe have conceded 1 or less goals in 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Guinea have lost 2 of their last 5 matches
  • Zimbabwe have scored 1 or more goals in 2 of their last 3 matches

Africa Cup of Nations match offers big price for home success

This is one of those matches where it's quite obvious that the away team is clearly favoured to win. But even if they end up scoring ten times, the price is too short.

Zimbabwe will have taken notes from Guinea's reverses in their recent results. Losses have slowly been stacking up for this group of away players over their last 5 fixtures. They've been beaten 2 times in that period. For a team so short in the betting, perhaps they'd be expected to have done better than this.

And there are other aspects of this fixture that need to be considered if you're interested in their short price. They're not a sure thing.

Zimbabwe first have to convince themselves they can win. If the hosts can grind out a win they will need to build on their recent performances. The home side is in some form on their own patch. They scored three or more goals in 5 of their recent 19 home matches while they've conceded no more than once in 15 of their last 17 home games.

Guinea have conceded three or more goals in 2 of their last 5 matches. And the home side will be desperately looking for evidence that they won't be facing huge firepower. Guinea have only scored once in their last 4 games.

The hosts can be pleased with their recent displays across the park and they'll need to hope that they can produce an extraordinary performance in order to keep this at all competitive.

The sportsbooks' prices suggest that one of these sides doesn't look likely to score because Guinea are such big favourites. But the odds-against for the BTTS Yes makes more sense.

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